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2024-12-14 00:16:19

Australian Prime Minister: Papua New Guinea rugby team will enter the Australian League in 2028.Survey: Most Japanese companies expect Trump 2.0 to damage the business environment. According to a survey in Reuters, nearly three-quarters of Japanese companies expect Trump's second US presidency to have a negative impact on the business environment of Japanese companies. The reasons for concern include the planned tariff increase and trade tensions. The manager of a machinery manufacturer wrote in the survey: "It is difficult to predict his policies, which makes it difficult for our client company to make investment decisions"; Although 73% of the respondents said that Trump's second entry into the White House will not have a favorable impact on their business environment, the rest of the respondents expect a positive impact, including the expectation that domestic demand in the United States will expand through tax cuts, and energy and environmental policies may also be revised; When asked what measures they would take if Trump raised tariffs, two-thirds of the respondents said their business strategy was unlikely to change, 22% said they would cut costs, and 8% said they would work hard to expand their cultivation in markets outside the United States.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.


Australia's ASX 200 index narrowed to 0.1%, and the Australian dollar increased. The just released Australian employment data was better than expected.Rare! The Indian opposition applied to impeach the Vice President. According to the Indian Express, the opposition coalition of the Indian Parliament filed an application on the 10th to impeach Jagdeep Dhankar, the Indian Vice President and Speaker of the House of Lords, on the grounds that Dhankar "presided over the agenda of the House of Lords in an extremely biased way". This is the first time in Indian history that such impeachment has been proposed. (Global Times)The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and HSBC signed a $1 billion trade flow arrangement for emerging markets.


Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. The reporter learned on the 12th local time that South Korean President Yin Xiyue will speak to the people again. (CCTV News)

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